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2013-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 37 9-20 1-6 4-5 11 2 3 0 1 23 18 -
Roy Hibbert * 35 8-18 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 2 3 18 13 -
Lance Stephenson * 34 2-5 1-1 5-8 3 3 2 1 0 10 14 -
George Hill * 33 3-8 2-4 3-3 1 2 0 1 1 11 6 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 27 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
Jeff Ayres * 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
D.J. Augustin * 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Ian Mahinmi * 12 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
Gerald Green * 11 2-8 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 0 -
Orlando Johnson * 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Sam Young 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 35 7-14 0-0 6-10 7 0 0 0 0 20 13 -
Taj Gibson * 32 4-11 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 2 0 11 7 -
Nazr Mohammed * 31 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 3 0 1 0 11 15 -
Carlos Boozer * 27 8-15 0-0 2-5 10 1 1 0 1 18 14 -
Marco Belinelli * 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
Jimmy Butler III * 20 1-4 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 3 5 -
Kirk Hinrich * 20 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 2 1 -
Nate Robinson * 19 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 5 1 1 4 9 5 -
Daequan Cook * 17 4-12 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
Marquis Teague * 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Vladimir Radmanovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter