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2013-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - ✗
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 ✗ (32.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Suns -31 (86-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Stiemsma * 34 6-10 0-0 2-3 10 1 0 3 3 14 15 -
Dante Cunningham * 30 8-11 0-0 2-2 8 1 2 0 0 18 18 -
Luke Ridnour * 29 4-8 0-1 4-4 2 7 0 0 1 12 12 -
Ricky Rubio * 29 3-7 0-0 6-7 6 8 5 0 4 12 20 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 25 6-10 0-2 8-10 7 1 0 1 1 20 18 -
J.J. Barea * 23 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 5 0 -
Chase Budinger * 16 4-9 1-3 2-4 2 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
Derrick Williams * 14 0-2 0-1 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 4 8 -
Nikola Pekovic * 13 5-7 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
Alexey Shved * 13 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 5 1 0 1 6 9 -
Mickael Gelabale 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Chris Johnson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Goran Dragic * 33 5-12 1-3 2-4 4 10 1 0 4 13 12 -
P.J. Tucker * 30 5-11 0-1 1-2 6 1 2 0 0 11 9 -
Luis Scola * 27 7-13 0-0 3-4 12 2 1 0 1 17 18 -
Wesley Johnson * 22 2-12 0-3 3-3 1 4 1 0 3 7 -2 -
Shannon Brown * 21 2-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 4 0 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 21 1-9 0-5 1-6 3 1 0 0 2 3 -4 -
Markieff Morris * 20 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
Kendall Marshall * 18 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 3 6 -
Michael Beasley * 17 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 11 7 -
Diante Garrett * 10 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Hamed Haddadi 15 3-4 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 3 6 8 -

* = starter