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2013-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (33.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +38 (116-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaun Livingston * 29 5-10 0-0 4-5 2 2 2 1 1 14 10 -
Alonzo Gee * 29 3-9 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 11 4 -
Tristan Thompson * 25 3-6 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
Daniel Gibson * 22 0-9 0-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -6 -
Wayne Ellington * 21 6-13 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 13 1 -
Luke Walton * 21 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 7 8 -
Tyler Zeller * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 2 4 -
Chris Quinn * 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 4 -1 -
Marreese Speights * 16 3-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 6 5 -
CJ Miles * 15 3-8 1-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 9 4 -
Kevin Jones * 12 2-7 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 -1 -
Omri Casspi 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 30 5-9 3-5 7-9 1 2 2 0 4 20 12 -
Chandler Parsons * 28 5-11 1-4 2-3 4 1 0 1 1 13 7 -
Greg Smith * 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 2 4 12 -
Thomas Robinson * 22 6-7 0-0 3-3 6 1 3 2 5 15 15 -
Omer Asik * 22 6-8 0-0 1-3 11 1 0 1 2 13 16 -
Jeremy Lin * 20 2-7 0-2 0-1 1 6 0 0 3 4 1 -
Patrick Beverley * 20 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 5 1 1 2 11 13 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 20 3-5 1-3 3-6 4 2 0 0 0 10 11 -
Carlos Delfino * 19 3-7 2-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
James Anderson * 12 5-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
Francisco Garcia 10 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
Aaron Brooks 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 1 1 0 3 -

* = starter