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2013-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.6 โœ“ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“

Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (101-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damien Wilkins * 39 10-15 2-4 2-4 1 2 4 0 3 24 13 -
Spencer Hawes * 38 8-11 1-2 0-0 12 5 0 4 3 17 24 -
Jrue Holiday * 37 6-12 3-5 3-3 6 15 4 1 5 18 27 -
Thaddeus Young * 34 9-15 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 18 5 -
Evan Turner * 31 6-12 0-2 0-2 4 0 2 0 6 12 0 -
Arnett Moultrie * 21 3-6 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 0 1 8 11 -
Dorell Wright * 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Charles Jenkins * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Royal Ivey 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 40 5-9 0-1 3-4 4 4 2 1 4 13 11 -
Andre Miller * 39 9-14 0-1 3-5 3 8 1 0 2 21 17 -
Danilo Gallinari * 35 3-10 2-3 4-4 4 2 1 0 7 12 2 -
Corey Brewer * 32 10-18 5-6 4-5 1 0 5 1 0 29 18 -
Kenneth Faried * 26 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
Kosta Koufos * 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 3 1 5 10 -
Anthony Randolph * 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 3 1 1 7 7 -
JaVale McGee * 16 1-3 0-0 4-5 3 1 1 1 4 6 5 -
Evan Fournier * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter