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2013-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (107-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 40 8-18 2-5 7-7 8 3 0 2 4 25 16 -
DeMar DeRozan * 39 7-12 1-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 2 19 10 -
Kyle Lowry * 37 6-13 1-6 5-5 7 5 1 1 5 18 14 -
Amir Johnson * 35 3-8 0-0 2-2 10 2 2 4 1 8 17 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 31 6-11 0-0 6-6 8 2 2 2 1 18 20 -
Terrence Ross * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
Alan Anderson * 12 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 4 4 -
Landry Fields * 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
John Lucas III * 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Sebastian Telfair * 5 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Mickael Pietrus 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Henderson * 39 8-14 0-0 5-6 7 5 1 2 3 21 19 -
Kemba Walker * 35 4-14 0-3 6-6 7 8 4 0 1 14 18 -
Josh McRoberts * 31 5-9 0-0 2-5 12 3 0 0 3 12 15 -
Bismack Biyombo * 31 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 2 -
Byron Mullens * 27 7-11 3-4 8-12 5 2 2 3 0 25 26 -
Ben Gordon * 25 5-11 2-5 4-5 0 1 0 0 1 16 5 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 20 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 2 4 -
Jeffery Taylor * 15 0-4 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Jannero Pargo * 12 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 11 10 -

* = starter