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2013-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 73.8% 26.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (92-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mickael Gelabale * 31 4-5 1-2 2-2 7 1 2 0 2 11 14 -
Derrick Williams * 26 3-12 1-5 1-1 6 1 0 0 2 8 1 -
J.J. Barea * 26 3-13 2-9 3-5 3 2 0 0 3 11 0 -
Nikola Pekovic * 24 3-9 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 0 9 6 -
Luke Ridnour * 24 2-10 1-3 1-2 5 3 0 1 2 6 3 -
Greg Stiemsma * 23 1-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 1 1 4 7 -
Alexey Shved * 23 5-9 1-3 1-1 2 2 1 1 0 12 9 -
Dante Cunningham * 21 3-9 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Ricky Rubio * 21 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 2 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 16 4-6 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 8 2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 36 6-12 0-0 0-2 14 4 0 1 2 12 17 -
Zach Randolph * 34 7-11 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 1 1 14 15 -
Mike Conley * 33 8-14 3-6 1-1 3 6 2 0 1 20 16 -
Marc Gasol * 33 6-13 0-0 4-5 8 5 0 4 3 16 17 -
Jerryd Bayless * 25 7-12 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 15 3 -
Quincy Pondexter * 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 5 -1 -
Tony Allen * 17 3-7 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 0 7 5 -
Ed Davis * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
Austin Daye * 13 0-2 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 1 5 -
Tony Wroten * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter