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2013-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 51.5% 48.5% -
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 (29.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -30 (78-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 44 12-22 5-11 0-0 5 11 2 1 3 29 23 -
Klay Thompson * 42 10-18 6-9 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 26 9 -
David Lee * 35 4-13 0-0 2-3 10 4 1 0 2 10 10 -
Andrew Bogut * 32 4-8 0-0 4-4 12 0 0 3 0 12 19 -
Jarrett Jack * 30 3-11 1-2 1-1 4 9 0 1 1 8 10 -
Harrison Barnes * 17 4-10 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Festus Ezeli * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Carl Landry * 12 3-6 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Draymond Green * 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
Malcolm Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kent Bazemore 2 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 6-16 3-7 6-6 10 8 3 0 3 21 23 -
Jeremy Lin * 35 9-16 3-5 0-3 1 4 0 0 2 21 8 -
Chandler Parsons * 35 2-13 1-6 4-4 7 2 0 1 1 9 5 -
Omer Asik * 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 3 1 6 16 -
Carlos Delfino * 23 4-11 2-7 2-2 1 1 2 1 0 12 6 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 19 2-11 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 -5 -
Greg Smith * 16 2-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
Patrick Beverley * 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Francisco Garcia * 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Thomas Robinson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Aaron Brooks 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
James Anderson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter