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2013-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 55.4% 44.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (96-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaun Livingston * 38 5-11 0-0 3-4 5 6 3 0 2 13 14 -
Dion Waiters * 36 9-19 1-3 2-5 2 0 3 0 5 21 2 -
Alonzo Gee * 33 4-11 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 1 2 11 6 -
Tyler Zeller * 30 4-12 0-0 2-3 10 0 2 0 2 10 8 -
Tristan Thompson * 29 6-8 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 0 1 12 10 -
Daniel Gibson * 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 3 -
Luke Walton * 18 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 5 2 0 5 9 8 -
CJ Miles * 18 2-6 2-5 2-3 5 1 0 1 0 8 9 -
Marreese Speights * 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 34 1-6 0-2 0-0 14 1 2 1 1 2 13 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 32 6-17 1-3 0-0 11 4 2 1 2 13 12 -
O.J. Mayo * 28 5-10 0-1 0-2 3 4 0 2 2 10 7 -
Vince Carter * 26 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
Brandan Wright * 25 6-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 13 10 -
Darren Collison * 23 5-9 1-2 2-2 3 5 1 0 4 13 9 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 21 6-10 3-5 3-4 3 5 1 0 0 18 17 -
Mike James * 21 3-7 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 7 5 -
Elton Brand * 16 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
Chris Kaman * 5 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 -
Bernard James 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chris Wright 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter