Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -13 (94-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 12-24 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 12-16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mike Miller | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 41 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 40 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 25 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Henson * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter