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2013-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (107-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markieff Morris * 35 5-11 0-2 5-8 11 0 2 0 0 15 17 -
Goran Dragic * 33 7-12 1-2 6-8 2 8 0 0 2 21 17 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 28 7-9 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 1 1 18 15 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 22 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 4 -6 -
Jared Dudley * 21 4-8 1-3 0-1 4 4 3 0 2 9 10 -
Wesley Johnson * 20 3-10 0-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 6 -1 -
Michael Beasley * 20 3-9 1-5 3-5 6 1 1 1 3 10 7 -
Hamed Haddadi * 19 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 0 4 5 7 -
Kendall Marshall * 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Luis Scola * 12 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
Diante Garrett 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Smith * 35 8-14 0-2 1-1 11 7 3 1 3 17 22 -
Al Horford * 34 6-16 0-0 4-4 11 4 0 1 3 16 13 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 30 4-9 3-7 1-2 2 2 2 1 2 12 8 -
Kyle Korver * 29 6-9 4-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 16 10 -
Devin Harris * 23 6-9 2-2 1-1 4 5 3 0 2 15 16 -
Jeff Teague * 22 2-10 0-4 4-4 1 4 2 0 4 8 1 -
Ivan Johnson * 15 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 2 0 2 7 8 -
Anthony Tolliver * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
John Jenkins * 14 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
Johan Petro * 8 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 5 4 -
Dahntay Jones 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Mike Scott 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shelvin Mack 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter