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2013-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +14 (92-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Henderson * 43 8-17 1-2 5-6 7 2 3 0 1 22 16 -
Kemba Walker * 40 5-17 2-8 8-12 4 5 3 0 3 20 12 -
Josh McRoberts * 38 4-9 0-2 2-3 9 3 3 2 2 10 16 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 27 2-12 0-0 0-2 3 0 2 0 2 4 -5 -
Ben Gordon * 26 4-16 2-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 -4 -
Jeffery Taylor * 24 2-3 1-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 8 7 -
Bismack Biyombo * 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 1 1 4 9 -
Byron Mullens * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jannero Pargo 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Reggie Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jeff Adrien 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amir Johnson * 43 5-11 0-0 2-2 21 1 2 3 6 12 22 -
Rudy Gay * 35 11-16 1-3 5-5 3 2 1 1 6 28 13 -
DeMar DeRozan * 30 1-5 0-0 7-8 4 4 0 1 3 9 10 -
Kyle Lowry * 26 3-10 1-4 0-0 6 2 2 1 1 7 7 -
Terrence Ross * 23 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 9 7 -
Alan Anderson * 23 2-5 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
Sebastian Telfair * 21 2-6 0-1 7-8 2 5 0 0 1 11 11 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 20 5-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 0 10 12 -
Landry Fields * 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter