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2013-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +30 (111-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Johnson * 30 7-13 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 15 9 -
Kendall Marshall * 28 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 6 2 0 3 10 11 -
Michael Beasley * 24 4-13 0-5 2-2 5 2 2 1 2 10 5 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 4 6 3 -
Markieff Morris * 21 2-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 4 4 0 -
Goran Dragic * 20 4-10 1-3 2-3 5 4 3 0 2 11 11 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 19 2-7 0-3 1-3 0 0 1 1 0 5 0 -
Jared Dudley * 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
P.J. Tucker * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Luis Scola * 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
Hamed Haddadi 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
Diante Garrett 8 4-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 9 5 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 31 4-7 3-5 7-8 2 4 0 0 4 18 13 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 27 7-12 2-4 3-4 5 2 0 1 1 19 14 -
Omer Asik * 25 4-7 0-0 6-7 7 1 0 1 2 14 14 -
Jeremy Lin * 25 5-9 1-2 2-2 3 6 2 0 2 13 13 -
Chandler Parsons * 24 5-11 0-3 1-1 3 4 1 1 1 11 8 -
Patrick Beverley * 22 2-7 2-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 6 8 -
Thomas Robinson * 20 5-9 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 0 4 12 7 -
Carlos Delfino * 15 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
Francisco Garcia * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Greg Smith 22 3-5 0-0 0-2 12 1 0 2 3 6 13 -
James Anderson 8 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 2 0 0 4 7 -
Aaron Brooks 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -

* = starter