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2013-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (94-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwyane Wade * 39 7-14 0-0 7-8 8 3 0 1 3 21 16 -
LeBron James * 37 8-19 1-4 10-12 7 8 2 1 4 27 22 -
Mario Chalmers * 32 3-9 0-5 1-1 2 4 1 0 0 7 5 -
Chris Bosh * 31 5-11 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 3 2 10 8 -
Shane Battier * 26 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 6 9 -
Ray Allen * 26 3-5 2-4 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 12 10 -
Udonis Haslem * 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Chris Andersen * 16 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 10 6 -
Norris Cole * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 0 4 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 42 9-18 3-5 0-2 7 7 3 1 3 21 18 -
Thaddeus Young * 37 11-20 0-0 2-2 15 3 0 1 1 24 22 -
Evan Turner * 37 7-13 0-2 1-2 3 5 1 0 2 15 9 -
Damien Wilkins * 30 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 5 1 0 2 5 7 -
Spencer Hawes * 22 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
Dorell Wright * 21 5-12 3-6 0-0 2 2 3 1 0 13 9 -
Lavoy Allen * 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Charles Jenkins * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 2 4 -
Royal Ivey * 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Nick Young * 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
Arnett Moultrie 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter