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2013-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% - ✓
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 ✓ (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns -15 (93-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Lawson * 36 8-13 1-3 2-4 2 6 0 0 1 19 13 -
Danilo Gallinari * 29 1-8 0-2 3-3 5 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
Andre Iguodala * 29 2-6 0-2 2-3 3 7 3 0 1 6 12 -
Andre Miller * 27 3-7 0-0 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 7 5 -
Corey Brewer * 26 7-16 2-4 4-6 3 1 3 0 3 20 8 -
Wilson Chandler * 26 5-7 0-1 1-2 6 1 3 0 3 11 11 -
Kosta Koufos * 26 10-11 0-0 2-3 10 1 1 1 1 22 23 -
Kenneth Faried * 20 4-9 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 2 10 10 -
JaVale McGee * 17 4-9 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 0 0 8 6 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Goran Dragic * 35 3-9 1-3 1-1 1 7 4 0 2 8 9 -
Wesley Johnson * 32 9-17 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 18 3 -
Luis Scola * 28 2-7 0-0 5-6 13 6 0 0 2 9 19 -
Markieff Morris * 27 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 4 1 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 23 6-13 1-2 3-6 4 3 2 1 1 16 12 -
Jared Dudley * 20 4-9 3-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 12 6 -
Hamed Haddadi * 18 4-7 0-0 5-5 8 1 1 2 3 13 15 -
Michael Beasley * 16 3-7 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
P.J. Tucker * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Kendall Marshall * 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 -
Shannon Brown * 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter