Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -23 (77-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 28 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 25 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mike James * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bernard James | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Williams * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 19 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter