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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +23 (111-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mickael Gelabale * 31 8-10 2-2 1-1 4 3 0 1 0 19 17 -
Greg Stiemsma * 29 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 3 8 7 -
Luke Ridnour * 29 2-7 0-4 3-3 3 3 1 2 2 7 7 -
Ricky Rubio * 29 4-9 0-1 3-4 4 6 0 0 3 11 9 -
Derrick Williams * 28 4-14 0-1 5-9 6 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
J.J. Barea * 27 6-14 3-6 0-0 2 4 3 0 3 15 7 -
Dante Cunningham * 23 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 8 1 -
Alexey Shved * 22 2-11 0-4 1-2 5 3 0 0 3 5 -1 -
Chris Johnson * 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 4 2 5 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Lawson * 33 12-17 4-4 4-4 1 3 1 0 4 32 16 -
Andre Iguodala * 32 4-10 1-1 2-3 5 3 4 3 1 11 15 -
Danilo Gallinari * 28 2-7 2-5 5-5 5 6 1 0 1 11 15 -
Kenneth Faried * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 1 4 10 -
Corey Brewer * 24 7-13 0-2 1-2 1 2 2 0 2 15 5 -
Andre Miller * 22 3-6 0-1 2-2 2 6 2 0 2 8 10 -
Kosta Koufos * 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 8 12 -
JaVale McGee * 12 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 3 8 7 -
Wilson Chandler 20 2-5 1-2 2-4 5 2 1 0 3 7 7 -
Timofey Mozgov 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Evan Fournier 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Anthony Randolph 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Jordan Hamilton 3 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -

* = starter