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2013-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% +4.1 โœ— (12.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% - โœ—

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -8 (101-109). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Avery Bradley * 34 10-15 2-4 0-0 7 5 1 0 4 22 16 -
Courtney Lee * 29 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 4 3 0 1 5 8 -
Paul Pierce * 29 6-10 4-4 2-2 11 7 0 0 5 18 21 -
Kevin Garnett * 28 9-17 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 6 18 4 -
Brandon Bass * 24 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 0 5 6 -
Jeff Green 28 4-8 1-1 7-9 4 5 1 0 1 16 17 -
Jason Terry 25 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 6 1 0 2 9 10 -
Chris Wilcox 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 4 5 -
Jordan Crawford 16 4-7 2-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 12 12 -
Terrence Williams 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Turner * 44 6-19 1-4 5-5 9 7 2 0 2 18 15 -
Jrue Holiday * 41 6-17 0-3 6-6 5 10 4 0 5 18 15 -
Royal Ivey * 36 4-9 2-7 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 10 8 -
Thaddeus Young * 33 9-20 0-0 1-3 10 0 2 1 1 19 11 -
Spencer Hawes * 28 7-12 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 14 9 -
Dorell Wright 23 3-13 2-7 2-2 7 2 2 0 2 10 6 -
Arnett Moultrie 19 5-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 10 10 -
Damien Wilkins 10 1-4 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Lavoy Allen 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter