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2013-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 92.9% 7.1% -9.7 ✓ (16.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 86.3% 13.7% - ✓
Margin 83.1% 16.9% -8.8 ✓ (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 69.1% 30.9% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -26 (82-108). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 35 5-6 0-0 2-2 5 11 0 1 2 12 21 -
Tayshaun Prince * 28 6-12 2-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 14 10 -
Mike Conley * 25 5-9 2-5 1-1 2 4 1 1 1 13 11 -
Tony Allen * 20 6-13 0-2 1-1 5 1 1 0 0 13 7 -
Darrell Arthur * 9 2-4 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Jerryd Bayless 25 2-6 1-3 1-1 4 3 2 0 1 6 8 -
Ed Davis 24 5-6 0-0 0-4 10 0 2 3 2 10 17 -
Quincy Pondexter 21 4-9 3-6 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 12 7 -
Tony Wroten 17 3-6 2-3 0-0 0 5 0 0 4 8 3 -
Jon Leuer 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
Dexter Pittman 9 1-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Austin Daye 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E'Twaun Moore * 33 4-10 0-0 4-4 5 6 2 0 2 12 13 -
Maurice Harkless * 32 5-6 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
Arron Afflalo * 30 2-6 0-3 8-8 2 3 0 0 0 12 11 -
Andrew Nicholson * 26 4-6 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 2 12 10 -
Nikola Vučević * 23 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
Tobias Harris 22 3-14 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 6 -4 -
Al Harrington 18 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
Beno Udrih 16 1-5 0-1 3-4 2 4 1 0 2 5 5 -
Doron Lamb 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
DeQuan Jones 12 3-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 1 7 4 -
Kyle O'Quinn 12 0-4 0-1 2-4 5 1 0 1 1 2 4 -

* = starter