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2013-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% +6.9 โœ— (9.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% - โœ—
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 โœ— (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% - โœ—

Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (107-110). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 44 9-24 2-6 7-11 6 13 6 0 3 27 25 -
Larry Sanders * 34 5-11 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 2 2 10 12 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 32 8-13 1-2 3-3 10 0 0 1 0 20 18 -
Brandon Jennings * 30 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 6 0 0 1 8 9 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 3 -1 -
Mike Dunleavy 30 6-11 2-5 2-2 6 3 1 1 4 16 12 -
JJ Redick 20 6-11 2-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 14 4 -
John Henson 12 5-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 12 9 -
Drew Gooden 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Ekpe Udoh 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chandler Parsons * 42 9-17 2-5 0-2 5 2 1 0 5 20 6 -
James Harden * 38 8-18 2-6 7-10 2 7 4 0 7 25 13 -
Jeremy Lin * 33 4-11 0-2 2-2 3 7 3 1 2 10 11 -
Omer Asik * 30 7-12 0-0 2-3 22 1 0 0 1 16 26 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 25 4-9 1-2 4-4 7 5 1 0 2 13 15 -
Carlos Delfino 31 5-14 1-6 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 12 1 -
Patrick Beverley 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
Greg Smith 11 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Thomas Robinson 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter