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2013-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% +5.0 โœ— (50.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 โœ“ (44.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Jazz -45 (80-125). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 27 8-15 1-5 8-8 3 3 1 1 0 25 18 -
Patrick Patterson * 25 6-9 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 12 7 -
Omer Asik * 25 1-5 0-0 2-2 19 0 0 2 2 4 18 -
Jeremy Lin * 24 5-5 1-1 1-1 2 7 3 0 3 12 16 -
Chandler Parsons * 24 6-8 0-2 0-0 3 2 3 0 0 12 12 -
Toney Douglas 23 3-10 1-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 7 -1 -
Carlos Delfino 21 5-9 4-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 14 8 -
Greg Smith 14 1-5 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Marcus Morris Sr. 14 5-9 4-6 2-4 2 2 1 0 0 16 12 -
Patrick Beverley 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 3 2 1 0 3 9 -
James Anderson 9 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 8 9 -
Cole Aldrich 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Donatas Motiejunas 7 2-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 3 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Randy Foye * 29 5-13 1-4 1-1 0 2 0 1 1 12 1 -
Al Jefferson * 28 5-14 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 2 2 10 7 -
Marvin Williams * 26 3-6 1-4 0-2 5 2 0 0 0 7 8 -
Paul Millsap * 21 2-9 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 -1 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 18 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 6 4 -
Derrick Favors 26 4-9 0-1 3-6 5 2 0 3 3 11 9 -
Alec Burks 26 2-6 0-0 4-6 1 4 0 1 2 8 6 -
Enes Freedom 19 4-8 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 0 2 9 9 -
Kevin Murphy 12 4-6 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
DeMarre Carroll 10 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
Jeremy Evans 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Earl Watson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter