Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | +12.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (98-91). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 11-26 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 29 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Luke Walton | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 40 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 31 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Andre Miller | 22 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter