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2012-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% +2.9 โœ— (25.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% - โœ—
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 โœ“ (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls -23 (97-120). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chandler Parsons * 36 9-15 4-5 1-2 5 2 2 0 0 23 17 -
James Harden * 35 7-13 1-2 11-13 5 6 2 1 1 26 26 -
Omer Asik * 34 9-13 0-0 2-3 18 1 0 3 0 20 29 -
Jeremy Lin * 34 8-12 0-1 4-4 1 11 1 1 2 20 20 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 28 3-9 2-7 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
Carlos Delfino 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
Toney Douglas 22 3-7 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 6 -3 -
Greg Smith 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Daequan Cook 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Donatas Motiejunas 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Cole Aldrich 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Scott Machado 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marco Belinelli * 35 5-10 2-5 3-3 1 3 0 0 0 15 9 -
Luol Deng * 35 5-14 0-2 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 14 5 -
Joakim Noah * 31 3-3 0-0 2-2 9 4 1 2 5 8 16 -
Carlos Boozer * 21 3-11 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 6 1 -
Kirk Hinrich * 20 2-8 0-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 4 1 -
Nate Robinson 27 9-16 4-8 5-7 4 3 1 0 2 27 17 -
Jimmy Butler III 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
Taj Gibson 19 3-5 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
Marquis Teague 17 4-10 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 1 1 8 1 -
Vladimir Radmanovic 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
Nazr Mohammed 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter