Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +17 (106-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Delonte West * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike | 7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jianlian Yi | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Hinrich * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 28 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 24 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Willie Green * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter