Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (35.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +34 (104-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrel Harris * | 31 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Eddy Curry * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Almond * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| John Wall * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| James Singleton * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Brian Cook | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter