Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (106-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patty Mills * | 34 | 9-23 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 9 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| James Anderson * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 19 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Danny Green * | 16 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Byars | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Brown * | 29 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 21 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 21 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter