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2012-04-25

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 (101-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 40 6-15 1-4 2-3 6 4 0 0 2 15 8 -
Ty Lawson * 35 8-15 3-5 6-8 5 4 2 0 2 25 19 -
Danilo Gallinari * 33 3-13 2-6 6-7 5 3 0 0 1 14 8 -
Kenneth Faried * 27 6-9 0-0 1-7 10 2 1 1 1 13 17 -
Corey Brewer * 23 5-10 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 10 3 -
Al Harrington * 23 3-8 2-4 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 10 7 -
Andre Miller * 21 2-7 0-2 1-2 0 6 1 0 1 5 4 -
Kosta Koufos * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
JaVale McGee * 17 5-9 0-0 0-1 6 0 2 1 1 10 9 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 40 12-23 5-8 3-3 5 4 0 1 5 32 14 -
Russell Westbrook * 34 10-20 1-3 9-10 6 9 3 4 2 30 30 -
Serge Ibaka * 29 7-9 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 4 2 15 13 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 28 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 0 6 -
Derek Fisher * 26 4-9 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
Daequan Cook * 22 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
Nick Collison * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
Kendrick Perkins * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 3 4 5 -
Nazr Mohammed * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Royal Ivey * 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Lazar Hayward * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter