Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| James Jones * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 23 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| JaJuan Johnson * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Sean Williams * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2 | - |
* = starter