Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (109-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 37 | 17-23 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 21 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 37 | 10-20 | 4-6 | 10-11 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 27 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nick Young * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trey Thompkins | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 29 | 10-17 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Willie Green * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter