Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.9 | ✓ (29.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +35 (124-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 45 | 9-24 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Nolan Smith * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 5-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 26 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| James Anderson * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Danny Green * | 14 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter