Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Anderson * | 42 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| James Johnson * | 41 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Ben Uzoh * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 28 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 25 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Alabi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Gray | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 38 | 9-23 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter