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2012-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +27 (101-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Anderson * 38 9-18 3-9 3-3 9 1 1 1 1 24 17 -
Glen Davis * 34 4-8 0-0 6-6 3 1 0 0 3 14 7 -
JJ Redick * 29 4-11 1-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 9 4 -
Jason Richardson * 26 4-13 1-4 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 9 6 -
Chris Duhon * 24 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 3 5 -
Ish Smith * 21 3-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 6 1 -
Von Wafer * 20 2-5 0-0 3-4 2 4 1 0 3 7 6 -
Daniel Orton * 19 1-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Quentin Richardson * 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jameer Nelson * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Harper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
DeAndre Liggins 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 37 7-10 0-2 1-1 3 3 0 0 3 15 8 -
Danilo Gallinari * 34 6-12 3-6 2-2 7 2 0 1 3 17 12 -
Ty Lawson * 33 5-10 1-2 2-2 5 10 0 0 0 13 18 -
Kenneth Faried * 29 5-8 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 2 11 11 -
Andre Miller * 25 3-10 0-0 0-0 1 11 0 0 3 6 5 -
Corey Brewer * 25 3-7 1-4 1-1 3 3 1 0 0 8 8 -
JaVale McGee * 23 8-11 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 3 2 17 15 -
Kosta Koufos * 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
Timofey Mozgov 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 2 3 -
Jordan Hamilton 2 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Julyan Stone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter