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2012-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (114-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antawn Jamison * 31 8-20 3-10 2-3 3 3 0 0 0 21 7 -
Anthony Parker * 30 4-9 0-4 0-0 8 4 1 1 1 8 12 -
Tristan Thompson * 29 4-9 0-0 1-4 9 2 1 2 2 9 12 -
Kyrie Irving * 29 8-18 1-3 2-2 2 3 3 1 4 19 6 -
Manny Harris * 26 5-10 1-3 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 14 9 -
Omri Casspi * 20 1-6 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Alonzo Gee * 18 3-7 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 0 2 10 7 -
Samardo Samuels * 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
Donald Sloan * 18 2-4 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
Luke Walton * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Luke Harangody 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 31 3-8 1-4 4-6 7 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
DeJuan Blair * 27 6-11 0-0 3-4 7 3 2 0 1 15 15 -
Manu Ginobili * 22 9-12 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 20 12 -
Boris Diaw * 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
Stephen Jackson * 22 5-9 2-3 5-7 5 3 1 1 1 17 17 -
Gary Neal * 21 2-6 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 7 6 -
Tony Parker * 21 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 9 0 1 1 6 12 -
Tiago Splitter * 20 2-3 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 1 1 8 12 -
Matt Bonner * 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Danny Green * 18 5-8 3-5 1-2 1 0 1 1 1 14 8 -
Patty Mills 7 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
James Anderson 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter