Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (97-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 37 | 10-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris Cole * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 27 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 22 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter