Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +10 (117-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Davis * | 45 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 41 | 8-19 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 38 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Daniel Orton * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Harper | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 45 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 40 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 37 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Enes Freedom * | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter