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2012-04-21

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Matthews * 42 7-17 2-8 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 16 6 -
Luke Babbitt * 41 3-10 2-6 2-2 7 2 2 0 3 10 8 -
JJ Hickson * 38 9-16 0-0 5-7 13 1 0 0 4 23 17 -
Nolan Smith * 35 2-8 0-2 4-4 2 6 0 0 3 8 5 -
Jamal Crawford * 31 5-13 2-6 9-10 2 3 3 0 2 21 14 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 19 1-5 0-0 1-4 8 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
Kurt Thomas * 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Jonny Flynn * 13 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
Craig Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 33 9-16 1-4 2-2 6 3 1 1 1 21 15 -
Marreese Speights * 31 5-12 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 0 4 13 10 -
Mike Conley * 30 2-10 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 5 2 -
Marc Gasol * 29 6-9 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 2 0 12 13 -
O.J. Mayo * 27 5-14 2-6 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 14 5 -
Tony Allen * 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
Dante Cunningham * 19 6-9 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 0 12 14 -
Quincy Pondexter * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Josh Selby * 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Gilbert Arenas * 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Hamed Haddadi 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Lester Hudson 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

* = starter