Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (84-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 38 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 28 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| James Singleton * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Chalmers * | 33 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 32 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 25 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter