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2012-04-21

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% - ✓
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 ✓ (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns -11 (107-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 37 6-10 0-1 7-7 3 3 2 0 3 19 14 -
Danilo Gallinari * 37 5-13 1-3 2-2 2 4 2 2 0 13 10 -
Ty Lawson * 36 10-16 5-5 4-4 4 10 1 0 1 29 27 -
Kenneth Faried * 27 9-13 0-0 0-0 14 2 1 3 0 18 25 -
Andre Miller * 27 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 5 8 1 -
Al Harrington * 22 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
JaVale McGee * 18 5-10 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
Corey Brewer * 16 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 10 7 -
Kosta Koufos * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 2 0 2 9 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shannon Brown * 41 10-24 6-12 2-2 6 1 3 2 1 28 15 -
Jared Dudley * 31 4-12 0-4 1-1 6 1 1 0 3 9 2 -
Steve Nash * 29 4-9 0-3 0-0 6 13 1 0 5 8 14 -
Marcin Gortat * 27 8-14 0-0 2-3 11 0 0 3 0 18 18 -
Sebastian Telfair * 20 6-7 3-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 3 15 9 -
Hakim Warrick * 19 3-8 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
Michael Redd * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 4 4 -
Markieff Morris * 17 1-6 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 3 2 -
Robin Lopez * 14 3-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 2 2 8 9 -
Channing Frye * 12 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Josh Childress * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter