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2012-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% -
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (121-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Metta World Peace * 30 3-9 1-2 3-4 3 2 3 0 1 10 8 -
Pau Gasol * 29 4-10 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 2 2 11 11 -
Andrew Bynum * 29 5-9 0-0 7-8 2 1 1 1 3 17 10 -
Kobe Bryant * 29 7-12 1-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 18 8 -
Matt Barnes * 25 5-11 1-4 3-3 5 3 0 0 1 14 10 -
Ramon Sessions * 24 2-9 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 5 -1 -
Steve Blake * 20 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 6 10 -
Josh McRoberts * 18 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 5 8 -
Troy Murphy 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Devin Ebanks 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
Jordan Hill 7 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
Andrew Goudelock 2 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Darius Morris 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Parker * 27 8-14 0-1 4-5 1 10 2 0 4 20 15 -
Tim Duncan * 26 10-15 0-0 1-1 8 3 3 2 2 21 20 -
Danny Green * 26 3-7 1-1 1-1 3 2 0 1 0 8 7 -
Manu Ginobili * 25 6-9 3-4 5-5 6 7 0 0 4 20 20 -
Boris Diaw * 24 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 8 10 -
Stephen Jackson * 21 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
Tiago Splitter * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
Gary Neal * 19 5-8 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
Kawhi Leonard * 18 3-5 2-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 8 10 -
Matt Bonner * 18 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
DeJuan Blair 7 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
James Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patty Mills 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter