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2012-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% -
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% -
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (104-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 39 11-22 3-4 1-2 3 4 1 0 1 26 11 -
Charles Jenkins * 37 5-15 0-0 0-0 1 10 3 0 4 10 5 -
Jeremy Tyler * 35 6-12 0-0 3-7 8 0 3 2 1 15 15 -
Brandon Rush * 32 9-12 2-5 0-0 8 2 1 2 0 20 21 -
Dorell Wright * 31 5-14 4-9 5-6 4 0 2 0 2 19 9 -
Dominic McGuire * 22 0-3 0-0 1-2 8 4 0 0 2 1 8 -
Richard Jefferson * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
Mickell Gladness * 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Mikki Moore 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Wright 1 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Delonte West * 33 5-10 1-2 5-5 3 4 2 1 2 16 14 -
Jason Terry * 28 4-12 1-8 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 9 1 -
Shawn Marion * 27 5-10 0-0 4-4 8 0 2 0 1 14 13 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 27 7-14 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 16 5 -
Vince Carter * 27 5-9 1-2 8-8 9 3 1 1 4 19 20 -
Jason Kidd * 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 1 -
Ian Mahinmi * 20 2-5 0-0 5-5 9 0 2 1 0 9 16 -
Brandan Wright * 17 8-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 0 17 16 -
Brendan Haywood * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Kelenna Azubuike 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Brian Cardinal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jianlian Yi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter