Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bass * | 36 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 36 | 12-22 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 31 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| JaJuan Johnson * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sean Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 30 | 11-18 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 24 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Willie Green * | 14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter