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2012-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% -
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% -
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Conley * 37 7-10 1-1 5-6 2 7 3 0 2 20 20 -
Rudy Gay * 30 4-14 0-3 1-2 6 1 3 1 2 9 4 -
O.J. Mayo * 30 4-10 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 9 5 -
Marreese Speights * 23 2-8 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
Marc Gasol * 22 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 1 0 8 10 -
Quincy Pondexter * 22 3-5 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Zach Randolph * 21 6-10 0-0 2-2 6 4 0 0 2 14 12 -
Dante Cunningham * 20 4-6 0-0 1-3 3 0 3 1 1 9 9 -
Tony Allen * 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 0 -2 -
Josh Selby * 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Hamed Haddadi * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 -
Gilbert Arenas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bismack Biyombo * 41 3-4 0-0 1-4 10 0 0 2 3 7 12 -
Gerald Henderson * 40 12-24 2-3 6-6 3 4 2 0 2 32 15 -
Byron Mullens * 39 4-13 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 0 4 11 7 -
Derrick Brown * 38 5-15 0-2 1-1 3 3 0 0 0 11 2 -
Kemba Walker * 36 5-15 1-4 0-0 6 5 2 1 7 11 3 -
DJ White * 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Cory Higgins * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Jamario Moon 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Matt Carroll 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 1 0 3 6 -

* = starter