Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 33 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 28 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 15 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| James Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter