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2012-04-18

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.7% 48.3% -
Margin 45.6% 54.4% +1.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Lee * 38 6-14 4-7 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 16 4 -
Marcus Camby * 36 5-11 0-0 1-2 17 1 1 0 2 11 17 -
Goran Dragic * 31 8-12 2-4 2-3 2 10 2 0 6 20 16 -
Chandler Parsons * 30 4-13 2-6 2-2 4 4 0 0 0 12 7 -
Luis Scola * 30 6-11 0-0 6-6 6 1 2 0 1 18 15 -
Chase Budinger * 25 6-10 2-6 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
Patrick Patterson * 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 6 8 -
Kyle Lowry * 18 4-9 2-5 1-1 0 5 0 0 1 11 6 -
Samuel Dalembert * 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 38 10-18 3-4 12-12 4 2 1 0 0 35 24 -
Jason Kidd * 34 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 8 0 0 1 12 15 -
Jason Terry * 32 6-11 3-6 4-5 4 3 0 0 3 19 12 -
Vince Carter * 29 8-18 1-6 6-6 4 3 1 0 1 23 12 -
Shawn Marion * 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 4 6 -
Delonte West * 20 5-9 0-2 1-1 2 3 2 0 3 11 6 -
Brandan Wright * 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
Brendan Haywood * 14 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Ian Mahinmi * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -

* = starter