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2012-04-18

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +12 (103-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marco Belinelli * 35 7-16 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 16 6 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 31 1-6 0-0 3-4 2 0 2 1 3 5 1 -
Darryl Watkins * 28 0-2 0-0 2-2 13 1 0 2 2 2 14 -
Jerome Dyson * 26 5-7 0-0 14-16 3 2 3 0 3 24 22 -
Greivis Vasquez * 25 4-9 0-2 1-1 1 9 2 0 7 9 5 -
Xavier Henry * 24 1-3 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 0 5 3 -2 -
Carl Landry * 21 4-4 0-0 8-9 1 1 0 1 1 16 14 -
Jason Smith * 18 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
Lance Thomas * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
Gustavo Ayon * 13 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo * 32 7-14 1-6 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 15 5 -
Rudy Gay * 30 9-14 3-5 5-5 5 4 1 2 1 26 23 -
Mike Conley * 30 8-11 2-4 2-3 2 5 1 0 1 20 16 -
Zach Randolph * 23 5-9 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 10 9 -
Marc Gasol * 23 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 1 0 6 13 -
Tony Allen * 19 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 1 4 2 -
Dante Cunningham * 18 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Jeremy Pargo * 15 2-7 0-1 0-1 0 2 2 0 1 4 0 -
Quincy Pondexter * 15 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Hamed Haddadi * 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 4 2 4 8 -
Marreese Speights * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Josh Selby 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter