Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +24 (96-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Anderson * | 45 | 7-18 | 0-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Ben Uzoh * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| James Johnson * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Solomon Alabi | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| LeBron James * | 30 | 12-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 21 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Terrel Harris | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddy Curry | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter