Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (28.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +32 (116-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Daye * | 29 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 24 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Vernon Macklin * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 19 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 14 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Walker Russell | 12 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Johnson * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Willie Green * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 17 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter