Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -21 (91-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 30 | 14-20 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Danny Green * | 24 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Patty Mills | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Anderson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 32 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Devin Ebanks * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Darius Morris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter