Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -21 (99-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Neal * | 25 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Danny Green * | 18 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| James Anderson * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 42 | 12-22 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 30 | 11-20 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Charles Jenkins * | 23 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chris Wright * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mickell Gladness * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mikki Moore | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter