Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +2 (123-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 53 | 11-25 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 6 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 52 | 13-26 | 2-7 | 12-12 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 26 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 45 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 44 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Delonte West * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 54 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 54 | 14-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 32 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 53 | 5-18 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 52 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 44 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 12 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Enes Freedom * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter