Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 42 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 17 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 42 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 34 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 19 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter